How Government Intervention Destroys Markets and Mandates Scarcity

The systematic erosion of purchasing power over the last few decades has coincided directly with a devastating decline in living standards for middle-class wage earners and prudent savers alike. You can visibly see it in most cities across America.

Areas that a generation ago were nice, clean neighborhoods are now blighted and decayed. Those with the means to do so moved on long ago. Those who remain are left with the ugliness.

But that’s not all. As we recently noted, when central planners intentionally debase a currency, they don’t just erode hard-earned savings; they tear apart the very moral fabric of society.

From revolutionary France’s catastrophic reliance on paper assignats to the modern Federal Reserve’s relentless balance-sheet expansions, the ruinous playbook never changes. Hard work and patient, disciplined saving are gradually replaced by financial desperation and wild, speculative gambling.

And once a populace begins to feel the suffocating squeeze of rapid dollar debasement, they look for someone – anyone – to stop the bleeding. They don’t typically point their angry fingers at the central bank or the reckless spending sprees in Washington. Instead, they look at the retail checkout counter, wrongly blaming local merchants and business owners. Continue reading →

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What Revolutionary France Teaches Us About Fiat Money Collapse

“Of all the contrivances for cheating the laboring classes of mankind, none has been more effective than that which deludes them with paper-money.”

– Daniel Webster, 1832

Crushing the Middle Class

What if the savings in your bank account lost 50 percent of its value over the next 12 months? Would you be a tad irate? Would you wish you’d transferred some of those savings into gold today when it was merely $4,200 per ounce?

It’s unlikely the U.S. dollar will lose 50 percent of its value over the next 12-months. But, based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ own inflation calculator, the dollar has lost 50 percent of its value since the turn of the century. In other words, per official inflation statistics, it takes a dollar today to buy what $0.50 could buy on January 1, 2000.

Of course, we all know the BLS inflation numbers are grossly understated. When it comes to housing, it takes a dollar in 2026 to buy what $0.33 did in 2000. With respect to gold, a dollar today gets you what just $0.07 did in 2000.

Still, an official 50 percent devaluation over 26 years has turned saving, investing, and planning for the future into a cruel, unwinnable game. Unless you’re already wealthy, with a diverse pool of assets – stocks, bonds, gold, properties, farmland, all spread across several continents – you likely find yourself with nothing to show for your years of labor. And your kids, seeing this losing plight, may have taken to sports betting or speculating on cryptocurrencies with the hopes that, just maybe, with a little luck, they’ll get ahead. Continue reading →

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Forces of Nature

If you’ve been paying attention to the political economy in the USA and abroad, you know there’s a chaotic tug-of-war out there. Light vs. dark, free markets vs. controlled markets, and sound economics vs. money-printer madness, among other opposing forces.

Most of the western world has been characterized by decades of big government and extreme market intervention. These qualities generally manifest in massive government deficits, asset bubbles, and rampant consumer price inflation.

For over 80 years, Argentina’s government was at the forefront of all things related to government meddling and mass money debasement. Countless sovereign defaults – including three in the 21st century alone – repeatedly burned international lenders. This, coupled with persistent, cash-printing sprees, continually torched local savings through brutal cycles of runaway hyperinflation.

Several years ago, the people of Argentina had finally had enough of the insanity. Javier Milei, a strange looking economist of the Austrian persuasion, was elected President. His mission? Put an end to massive government deficits and control inflation.

Almost three years have passed since the commencement of the Milei era. How is Argentina doing? Continue reading →

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When Capital Hits Physical Limits

What is up with the American political economy and financial markets?

Federal government spending’s running at an annual deficit of $1.9 trillion. What’s more, private financial markets are undertaking a capital-intensive technology buildout with only a hypothetical understanding of how it will all be paid for.

But that’s not all. There are persistent supply constraints, escalating geopolitical chaos in the Middle East, and relentless political pressure from President Trump on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh to cut interest rates in the face of elevated consumer price inflation. What’s an investor with a small pile of retirement savings that he schlepped day in and day out for over 30 years to do?

This does not appear to be a standard run of the mill business cycle driven by consumer confidence or inventory management. Rather, it appears that fiscal and monetary policy, geopolitical reality, and massive technological ambition are bumping into physical capacity limits. Understanding what’s going on is essential for anyone trying to preserve capital or position their portfolio for the coming decade. Continue reading →

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